Weather Maker

ARIZONA MONSOON FORECAST

 

SYNOPSIS:

 

AT 12Z THE 250MB CHARTS SHOWS THE MAIN HI LOCATED OFF THE BAJA SPUR WITH SMALL WIGGLES MOVING RAPIDLY THROUGH A BASIC WEST NORTH WEST FLOW OVER ARIZONA.  FLG AND TUS SHOW RATHER WARM UPPER LEVELS WITH TEMPS RANGING FROM -39C TO -41C.

 

12Z 500MB CHART SHOWS HI PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDING FROM OFF SW US PACIFIC COAST TO INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.  FLOW IS NNE OVER ARIZONA AND DEWPOINTS RUN FROM -12 TO -13C.  TEMPS ARE COOL ENOUGH AT 500MB BUT WARMER AIR ALOFT MAY CAUSE SOME SERIOUS CAPPING.  THERE IS ALSO A SMALL INVERTED TROUGH LOCATED OVER RIO GRANDE BIG BEND AREA OF TEXAS.   IT APPEARS TO BE MOVING SLOWLY THIS DIRECTION.

 

12Z 700MB CHART SHOWS THE -4C DEWPOINTS ARE COVERING ALL OF THE STATE BUT FLOW IS RATHER WEAK.

 

12Z 850MB CHART SHOWS THAT THE 8C DEWPOINT LINE RUNS FROM JUST WEST OF TUS TO GILBERT TO SHOW LOW.  HOWEVER WHAT IS A GOOD SIGN IS THE FLOW IS SHOWING A MORE SE DIRECTION SO MOISTURE SE SHOULD MAKE IT NORTHWEST WARD.

 

TUS SKEW-T IS FORECASTING AROUND 1000 CAPE AND LI - 5 BY AFTERNOON SO THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE UNSTABLE BUT WARMING AT AROUND 600MB MAY LIMIT STORM DEVELOPMENT.   THE CAP SEEMS TO BE A LITTLE MORE STRONGER TODAY THOUGH THE LOWER LEVELS SEEM TO BE MORE UNSTABLE.

 

FGZ SKEW-T IS FORECASTING MODEST INSTABILITY WITH CAPE OF AROUND 500 AND LI -3.  IT TOO IS ALSO SHOWING UPPER AIR WARMING AT 600MB.  THIS TOO IS SIMILAR IN THAT THERE IS MORE CAPPING, BUT A MORE UNSTABLE LOWER LEVEL.

 

TODAY'S OUTLOOK...

 

AS OF 17Z THERE IS VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE RIM AND SE.  SO I BELIEVE THAT MOST ACTIVITY WILL BE LIMITED BY THE CAP AT 600MB.  SOME STORMS MAY DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT OVER EASTERN RIM SIMILAR TO LAST NIGHT DO TO SOME UPR LVL SPEED MAX'S, BUT I DONT EXPECT ANY WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY.

 

FLG...10%

PAY...10%

SOW...20%

PRC...10%

PHX....0%

YUM...0%

TUC...10%

 

DAY TWO, THREE, FOUR OUTLOOK...

 

12Z MODELS TODAY DIDN'T INITIALIZE THE RIDGE POSITION AT ALL WELL.  SO THEY ARE BASICALLY USELESS.  THE BEST WAS THE NAM SO I WILL LEAN TOWARDS THAT ONE FOR NOW.  ALL MODELS FORECAST THE 300MB RIDGE TO BUILD AS WELL AS THE 500MB.  HOWEVER, THE MAIN CENTER REMAINS MOSTLY OVER CENTRAL ARIZONA AND THUS, EVEN IF WE HAVE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE SOOOO WARM AND CAPPED TSTORMS WILL HAVE A VERY DIFFICULT TIME GETTING STARTED.  SO ACTIVITY WILL BE VERY LIMITED AND ISOLATED.  ALSO I BELIEVE THE FLOW WILL ALSO CAUSE SOME EVENTUALLY DRYING ALOFT.  THAT WILL WORK AGAINST US ALSO.

 

Hi Everyone -

I wanted to give everyone a progress report on REX.

All of our Unit Testing is complete now and we have completed our 13th build of our Alpha.

I recently sent our Alpha 13 build out to our test team and things went good. We have some additional areas we need to fix and a couple of interfaces we need to modify.

We will have one more Alpha build and we expect everything to go well with that. So if Alpha 14 is successful then we will be moving to FULL BETA and preparing for release. Once we get to this point I will immediately post that we are at BETA.

When we get to Full Beta we will start showing some interfaces.

While the gang is working on the Beta we will be finishing the touches on the manual and will TRY to get the manual to the public before release so you know how it all works.

BELOW IS THE DISCLAIMER STATEMENT....

I want to make it clear that we are not giving out a release date, but just a progress report. So I can not promise a time frame at this point.

Sincerely,

Reed Stough

Ok I have see a lot of textures being produced for Microsoft's Flight Simulator X, but these have got to be by far the best I have ever seen.

 

Check this out.

 

 

These are incredible and I can't wait till this becomes available.  This takes FSX to a new level of realism.

Weather Maker X Public Beta 2 Avaliable...

Last Updated: Thursday, November 15, 2007

Calibre Software Solutions is pleased to release Weather Maker X Open Beta 2. This is the most advanced weather engine on the market, giving the desktop pilot incredible flexibility in weather depiction and weather avoidance. Weather Maker X not only offers real-time weather depiction, but now includes a random weather generator offering various weather conditions. Either weather situation is now depicted in our new enhanced radar that offers map depiction, giving the pilot the knowledge on how to avoid dangerous weather conditions. Weather Maker X is the first weather engine to show the desktop pilot not just precipitation, but turbulence, electrical cloud activity to avoid storms, potential hail areas, graphical wind directions at the surface and aloft, and many more features. Weather Maker X takes advantage of the new Simconnect module available with Microsoft's Flight Simulator X (Deluxe Edition) to simulate realistic and randow weather. Click here to try the open beta 2 version now!!