ARIZONA MONSOON FORECAST

 

SYNOPSIS:

 

AT 12Z THE 250MB CHARTS SHOWS THE MAIN HI LOCATED OFF THE BAJA SPUR WITH SMALL WIGGLES MOVING RAPIDLY THROUGH A BASIC WEST NORTH WEST FLOW OVER ARIZONA.  FLG AND TUS SHOW RATHER WARM UPPER LEVELS WITH TEMPS RANGING FROM -39C TO -41C.

 

12Z 500MB CHART SHOWS HI PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDING FROM OFF SW US PACIFIC COAST TO INTERMOUNTAIN WEST.  FLOW IS NNE OVER ARIZONA AND DEWPOINTS RUN FROM -12 TO -13C.  TEMPS ARE COOL ENOUGH AT 500MB BUT WARMER AIR ALOFT MAY CAUSE SOME SERIOUS CAPPING.  THERE IS ALSO A SMALL INVERTED TROUGH LOCATED OVER RIO GRANDE BIG BEND AREA OF TEXAS.   IT APPEARS TO BE MOVING SLOWLY THIS DIRECTION.

 

12Z 700MB CHART SHOWS THE -4C DEWPOINTS ARE COVERING ALL OF THE STATE BUT FLOW IS RATHER WEAK.

 

12Z 850MB CHART SHOWS THAT THE 8C DEWPOINT LINE RUNS FROM JUST WEST OF TUS TO GILBERT TO SHOW LOW.  HOWEVER WHAT IS A GOOD SIGN IS THE FLOW IS SHOWING A MORE SE DIRECTION SO MOISTURE SE SHOULD MAKE IT NORTHWEST WARD.

 

TUS SKEW-T IS FORECASTING AROUND 1000 CAPE AND LI - 5 BY AFTERNOON SO THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE UNSTABLE BUT WARMING AT AROUND 600MB MAY LIMIT STORM DEVELOPMENT.   THE CAP SEEMS TO BE A LITTLE MORE STRONGER TODAY THOUGH THE LOWER LEVELS SEEM TO BE MORE UNSTABLE.

 

FGZ SKEW-T IS FORECASTING MODEST INSTABILITY WITH CAPE OF AROUND 500 AND LI -3.  IT TOO IS ALSO SHOWING UPPER AIR WARMING AT 600MB.  THIS TOO IS SIMILAR IN THAT THERE IS MORE CAPPING, BUT A MORE UNSTABLE LOWER LEVEL.

 

TODAY'S OUTLOOK...

 

AS OF 17Z THERE IS VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE RIM AND SE.  SO I BELIEVE THAT MOST ACTIVITY WILL BE LIMITED BY THE CAP AT 600MB.  SOME STORMS MAY DEVELOP LATER TONIGHT OVER EASTERN RIM SIMILAR TO LAST NIGHT DO TO SOME UPR LVL SPEED MAX'S, BUT I DONT EXPECT ANY WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY.

 

FLG...10%

PAY...10%

SOW...20%

PRC...10%

PHX....0%

YUM...0%

TUC...10%

 

DAY TWO, THREE, FOUR OUTLOOK...

 

12Z MODELS TODAY DIDN'T INITIALIZE THE RIDGE POSITION AT ALL WELL.  SO THEY ARE BASICALLY USELESS.  THE BEST WAS THE NAM SO I WILL LEAN TOWARDS THAT ONE FOR NOW.  ALL MODELS FORECAST THE 300MB RIDGE TO BUILD AS WELL AS THE 500MB.  HOWEVER, THE MAIN CENTER REMAINS MOSTLY OVER CENTRAL ARIZONA AND THUS, EVEN IF WE HAVE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE SOOOO WARM AND CAPPED TSTORMS WILL HAVE A VERY DIFFICULT TIME GETTING STARTED.  SO ACTIVITY WILL BE VERY LIMITED AND ISOLATED.  ALSO I BELIEVE THE FLOW WILL ALSO CAUSE SOME EVENTUALLY DRYING ALOFT.  THAT WILL WORK AGAINST US ALSO.

 

Hi Everyone -

I wanted to give everyone a progress report on REX.

All of our Unit Testing is complete now and we have completed our 13th build of our Alpha.

I recently sent our Alpha 13 build out to our test team and things went good. We have some additional areas we need to fix and a couple of interfaces we need to modify.

We will have one more Alpha build and we expect everything to go well with that. So if Alpha 14 is successful then we will be moving to FULL BETA and preparing for release. Once we get to this point I will immediately post that we are at BETA.

When we get to Full Beta we will start showing some interfaces.

While the gang is working on the Beta we will be finishing the touches on the manual and will TRY to get the manual to the public before release so you know how it all works.

BELOW IS THE DISCLAIMER STATEMENT....

I want to make it clear that we are not giving out a release date, but just a progress report. So I can not promise a time frame at this point.

Sincerely,

Reed Stough

Ok I have see a lot of textures being produced for Microsoft's Flight Simulator X, but these have got to be by far the best I have ever seen.

 

Check this out.

 

 

These are incredible and I can't wait till this becomes available.  This takes FSX to a new level of realism.

Weather Maker X Public Beta 2 Avaliable...

Last Updated: Thursday, November 15, 2007

Calibre Software Solutions is pleased to release Weather Maker X Open Beta 2. This is the most advanced weather engine on the market, giving the desktop pilot incredible flexibility in weather depiction and weather avoidance. Weather Maker X not only offers real-time weather depiction, but now includes a random weather generator offering various weather conditions. Either weather situation is now depicted in our new enhanced radar that offers map depiction, giving the pilot the knowledge on how to avoid dangerous weather conditions. Weather Maker X is the first weather engine to show the desktop pilot not just precipitation, but turbulence, electrical cloud activity to avoid storms, potential hail areas, graphical wind directions at the surface and aloft, and many more features. Weather Maker X takes advantage of the new Simconnect module available with Microsoft's Flight Simulator X (Deluxe Edition) to simulate realistic and randow weather. Click here to try the open beta 2 version now!!

PRESS RELEASE FROM CALIBRE SOFTWARE SOLUTIONS...

 

Calibre Software Solutions has released preview information about its new
soon to be released product called: Weather Maker X

 

Weather Maker X not only allows the user to download and load real-time weather, but
also includes a new Random Weather Generator.  This is the ONLY weather engine
with a random weather generator.

 

For the first time a weather engine now has a truly realistic Weather Generator.  With
a few clicks of a button and whola random weather.

 

This weather is not only visible in the Weather Maker X radar. Now you can create
the weather and avoid it at the same time.

 

Weather Maker X will be released soon to the public as a beta package.

Weather Maker X utilizes a new brand new platform called the Physix FX.

This platform includes an interface via the SimConnect module to Microsoft's
Flight Simulator X.

 

The Physix FX platform is the new platform that will be used by several new
tools that will be released by Calibre Software over the next several months.

These tools will reshape the way users will exerience the FSX environment.

 

These tools include:

 

Weather Maker X - Weather Radar and Weather Engine for FSX

 

Flight Maker X - A intelligent Flight Planner Tool that integrates with WMX to give the pilot wise flight plans based upon the weather.

 

Environ Maker X - Enviroment Tool that integrates with WMX that will change your flight experience based upon the weather conditions.

 

Storm Maker X - Let's just say it is a game within a game...

 

For more information go to our informational website at: http://www.weather-maker.com/wmxwebsite/default.htm

I am pleased to annouce the newest version of Weather Maker that will be released soon...It is called Weather Maker X.

This version has been built from the ground up using the SimConnect module and includes all the functionality of WMRX, but also includes a Custom Weather Engine for those who want a challenge with something a little different.

Here are the new support banners:









If you notice our new banner now sports our new logo for Weather Maker.

More information about WMX will be coming out soon... 

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE -

 

Calibre Software Solutions has released a new service pack update 1 for Weather Maker RX.

Service Pack 1 updates includes a new enhanced features with the radar screen and fixed some
items with the configuration and system loading.

 

New features include:

 

1.)  New realistic radar precipitation radar echo depiction.
2.)  New radar weather observation graphics
3.)  New radar wind display with use of arrows to depict wind direction.

 

Fix items include:

 

1.)  Fixed some FSUIPC loading issues
2.)  Fixed over all pressure handling that defaults to realistic level is pressure is missing
 or not configured correctly.

 

Current users of Weather Maker RX can automatically download and install Service Pack 1 by clicking on their Start button,
clicking Programs, and opening the Weather Maker RX menu and clicking on the Update Weather Maker RX menu item.

Weather Maker RX is the simiplest and gives the user a more realistic view of the weather for Microsoft's Flight Simulator.

 

For more information about Weather Maker RX you can go to http://www.weather-maker.com

 

Weather Maker RX is available for use with Flight Simulator 9 and Flight Simulator X and requires
FSUIPC provided by Pete Dowson. 

I wanted to give an update on WMRX and WMPRO.  Well things are moving a little slower than expected.  Partially because of family vacation and also because of illinesses.  Basically, things out of my control.

 

Anyway, things are moving a long on development of WMRX (Simconnect) version and I am getting ready to release another beta version to our testers.

 

Then I will be working on some fixes for the FSUIPC version of WMRX.

 

Weather Maker Pro is still planned to go through one more upgrade, but that will be the final release for Weather Maker Pro.  In that I will be focusing more on FSX development.

 

I am afraid to give time frames, because I just don't know yet.  Getting beta's have been slow on my part to get them to the testers as mentioned above as to why.

VALID: 20070828 - 20070902

 

TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY THEN LATER TOWARDS MORNING.

LOWS IN THE MID TO UPR 80S.  CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION IS 10 PERCENT.

 

TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY TOWARDS EVENING WITH A DUST STORM POSSIBLE IN THE EVENING FOLLOWED BY A THUNDERSTORM.  HIGHS FROM 104 TO 107.  CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION IS 20 PERCENT.

 

TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE EVENING WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS THEN CLEARING LATE.  LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S.  CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION IS 20 PERCENT.

 

WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING WITH A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  THEN CLEARING LATER IN THE DAY.  HIGHS FROM 100 TO 105. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION IS 30 PERCENT

 

 

EXTENDED FORECAST FOR:  THURSDAY...FRIDAY...SATURDAY...SUNDAY

 

PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY THURSDAY, FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.  INCREASING CLOUDS SUNDAY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.

 

HIGHS WILL BE FROM 104 TO 108 AND LOWS WILL BE FROM UPPER 70S THURSDAY AND FRIDAY TO THE LOW TO MID 80S BY SUNDAY.

 

 

 

 

 

VALID 20070827 - 200906

 

CURRENT CONDITIONS:

 

WELL TODAY COULD BE VERY INTERESTING FROM ABOUT FLG TO PHX TO TUS EAST.  A LITTLE UPR LEVEL TROUGH IS MOVING THRU THE WEST PORTION OF AZ AS OF 12Z AND CONDITIONS ARE PRETTY RIPE FOR SOME STRONG TSTM DEVELOPMENT.   ALL LVLS LOOK PRETTY GOOD FOR SUPPORT FOR THIS INCLUDING UPR LVLS.  MOISTURE ISNT AN ISSUE. 

 

SKEW T PLOTS FOR FLG AND TUS SHOW A GOOD UNSTABLE ATMOS WITH TUS HAVING A CAPE OF 651 BUT INCREASING TO 2000 LATER TODAY. 

 

THE ONLY PROBLEM WITH SCNTRL AND SE AZ IS THAT MOST OF THE DYNAMICS ARE GOING TO BE OVER THE UT AND AZ BORDER WHERE MOST OF THE DIFFULENCE WILL BE. 

 

500MB TEMPS ARE ALL ABOUT -6 AND WITH THE WESTERLY FLOW THE TEMPS DROP TO -7 AND -8 SO WE ARE GOING TO HAVE TO WATCH CLOSELY TODAY FOR SOME ISO SVR WX.

 

 

KGCN...40%

KFLG...50%

KPAY...60%

KSOW...60%

KPHX...30%

KYUM...0%

KTUS...30%

KDUG...40%

 

DAY ONE THROUGH DAY THREE:

 

12Z WV SAT SHOWS AN INVERTED TROUGH MOVING UP BAJA WITH SOME GOOD CONVECTION AROUND THE EAST OF THE GULF OF CAL.  SO I THINK IN BY DAY TWO OR THREE WE SHOULD SEEN AN INCREASE IN ACTIVITY AGAIN MAINLY OVER SE AZ AS THE 500MB TROUGH MOVES EAST AGAIN.  I DO NOT THINK WE ARE GOING TO SEE 115 DEGREE HEAT AGAIN THIS WEEK.  THAT INV TROUGH I THINK WILL PUT A KABASH ON THAT.

 

WV SAT SHOWS A POSITIVE TROUGH SETTING UP ALONG THE WEST COAST.  SO I THINK WE WILL BE IN THE SAME PATTERN WE HAVE BEEN OVER THE PAST SEVERAL DAYS.  AS THESE INV TROUGHS RIDE UP THE BAJA COAST WE WILL SEE AN INC OF STORMS AND THEN A QUICK DECREASE AS THEY MOVE AWAY.

 

SO I THINK DAY ONE AND POSSIBLY TWO WILL BE A DOWN BUT BY DAY THREE THINGS WILL INCREASE AGAIN BECAUSE OF THE INV TROUGH. 

 

 

CITY....TUE/WED/THU

 

I am afraid that many believe that the SimConnect is going to be the answer to issues in FSX's weather, such as: smooth pressure, smooth wind transitions, smooth general weather transitions, etc.

 

First, it is a great improvement and I am thankful that Microsoft has provided this tool, but many of the elements in the weather engine in FSX have not been changed since FS9.  I believe FSXI will be drastically different when they get a chance to work on it.

However, these issues are not fixed and only somewhat improved. 

 

So what makes products like Weather Maker, Active Sky, or FSMeteo different than just using the plain old FS weather loader.

Here is the difference and what the Simconnect module will help with:

 

1.)  With Simconnect we now have a direct connection to the weather API and thus, gives us a little more customization of the weather effects.  With SimConnect we can add more weather stations so this allows us to populate more weather stations and create a more realistic weather front; especially over water.  That in itself will help with some of the transitions issues, but will not fix it completely.

 

2.)  With Simconnect we can now integrate some other features of the sim into the weather engine and expand our ways of handling certain affects on the aircraft more than what was available in the past.

 

3.)  With Simconnect the use over a network is much easier than previous.

 

4.)  Development and code production is much easier.  For example the ATIS report and actual winds and visibilities match up correctly.  That is a BIG improvement.

 

So the next question is which is better FSUIPC or Simconnect.

 

In my opinion right now I am split.  Simconnect gives me the developer more room for development, but it is limited only to FSX.  There are a lot of FS9 users out there and so using only Simconnect limits us to the FSX user base.  I think as FSX gains hold - especially after the great improvement with SP1 then this will not be an issue.

 

Also, Simconnect will help in getting more accurate reading for FSX, such as visibility, and wind direction.  But FSUIPC does help in some aspects of the smoothing.

 

The truth is that the problem is really with the Weather Engine itself and not the add-on.  The weather engine (FSX/9) takes data and stores it in memory heaps on the CPU.  FSUIPC allows the developer to access those memory heaps and change the data in them.  This is not the best way to do this in that it can cause issues.  Peter Dowson has done a brilliant job with handling this and making this possible.

Simconnect allows us to force the actual application FSX to handle these weather changes, but still there is not an engine with FSX that handles the transitions well.  This will have to come in the next version of FS.

 

In humble opinion I think this is a trial period for the Flight Sim product.  I have never seen Microsoft push Flight Sim to be a more public product as a game with Service Pack udpates, and even Expansion Packs. This could be a very good sign.  I do think that if FSX really succeeds especially if we can get what we see with Vista and Direct X 10, then FSXI will be incredible; especially, in the Weather Department.

 

Just my two cents!

 

Reed

 

Calibre Software Solutions has released a new updated demo version of its new released Weather Maker RX. The features of this version are limited and you are limited to the flight area around KSAT, San Antonio Texas. But beware the weather in this demo is not all that nice to fly in! Included in this demo is the latest help documents that give you more information about the features of the full version of WMRX.

This version now supports users with Windows 2000, Windows XP, and Windows XP SP2.

Download the Demo here!

 

Calibre Software Solutions is pleased to announce that Weather Maker RX (its intelligent weather engine for Microsoft’s Flight Simulator X) has been released and is available for purchase at $19.95.

Weather Maker RX is the most advanced weather engine from Calibre Software Solutions and provides the virtual pilot not only challenging weather, but the tools to avoid the weather.

The new DNX-50 data-link radar system, gives the user a visual display of rain and snow, lightning, cloud turbulence avoidance, airport conditions, temperature, wind, pressure, visibility,
and Airmet/ Sigmet alerts.
 
You can purchase Weather Maker RX at:  http://www.weather-maker.com.

[PLEASE NOTE: Please be aware of the system requirements before you purchase.]

For previous Weather Maker Pro users you will need to use the E-Coupon provided with the latest update 4.9.4 or the email sent to you if you purchased from Weather-Maker.com to get  your discount of
$13.95.

 

Calibre Software Solutions has released a full update version 4.9.4 for Weather Maker Pro.

Version 4.9.4 fixes several issues including some issues with the wild pressure,
and the radar not loading.

 

Also, included in the package is an e-Coupon to purchase Weather Maker RX at its
discounted price of $13.95.

 

You may download this update now by clicking your "Start" button
on Windows, and then going to "All Programs" and then under the "Weather Maker Pro 4.9"
menu item clicking the "Check for updates for Weather Maker Pro menu."

 

Weather Maker Pro 4.9.4 is for users of Flight Simulator 9
Weather Maker RX is for users of Flight Simulator X

Weather Maker RX Goes Gold!!

It is a official - Weather Maker RX for Microsoft's Flight Simulator X has gone gold and will be released to the public on Friday, March 30, 2007. Download the official press release, media, and system requirements at: Official Press Release Weather Maker RX not only offers the virtual pilot a weather engine that provides challenging weather, but the tools to avoid that weather. All previous users of Weather Maker Pro will be able to purchase Weather Maker RX for only $13.95, while the general price will be $19.95. Start now by downloading the Video Tutorials to get a head start on how to use this tool.

A special announcement in regards to the release of Weather Maker RX will be made this Friday, March 2, 2007.

FOR IMMEDIATE RELASE

Calibre Software Solutions is pleased to annouce the release of its new website for Weather-Maker.com.

 

This website offers more help to the user of Weather Maker Products and will give the user the latest information
about the soon to be released version of Weather Maker RX for Flight Simulator 9 and X later this month.

 

Give it a ride at:  www.weather-maker.com

FOR IMMEDIATE PRESS RELEASE

 

Calibre Software Solutions has offered its first patch for Weather Maker Pro 4.9.3.

 

This patch fixes some areas surrounding the conversion of the metar file into XML. 

 

 

You can download this patch at:  http://www.weather-maker.com/update/wmpropatch1.zip

 

For more information or support please contact us at: support@weather-maker.com.

Iven Ellis one of the Beta Testers for WMRX sent me these snapshots of his test of the latest version of WMRX (RC4).  I thought I would share them with you.